SARS-COV-ATE risk assessment model for arterial thromboembolism in COVID-19.

Patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection are at an increased risk of cardiovascular and thrombotic complications conferring an extremely poor prognosis. COVID-19 infection is known to be an independent risk factor for acute ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction (MI). We developed a risk assessment model (RAM) to stratify hospitalized COVID-19 patients for arterial thromboembolism (ATE). This multicenter, retrospective study included adult COVID-19 patients admitted between 3/1/2020 and 9/5/2021. Among 3531 patients from the training cohort, 15.5% developed acute in-hospital ATE, including stroke, MI, and other ATE, compared to 13.4% in the validation cohort. The 16-item final score was named SARS-COV-ATE (Sex: male = 1, Age [40-59 = 2, > 60 = 4], Race: non-African American = 1, Smoking = 1 and Systolic blood pressure elevation = 1, Creatinine elevation = 1; Over the range: leukocytes/lactate dehydrogenase/interleukin-6, B-type natriuretic peptide = 1, Vascular disease (cardiovascular/cerebrovascular = 1), Aspartate aminotransferase = 1, Troponin-I [> 0.04 ng/mL = 1, troponin-I > 0.09 ng/mL = 3], Electrolytes derangement [magnesium/potassium = 1]). RAM had a good discrimination (training AUC 0.777, 0.756-0.797; validation AUC 0.766, 0.741-0.790). The validation cohort was stratified as low-risk (score 0-8), intermediate-risk (score 9-13), and high-risk groups (score ≥ 14), with the incidence of ATE 2.4%, 12.8%, and 33.8%, respectively. Our novel prediction model based on 16 standardized, commonly available parameters showed good performance in identifying COVID-19 patients at risk for ATE on admission.

Antiphospholipid antibodies and vitamin D deficiency in COVID-19 infection with and without venous or arterial thrombosis: A pilot case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) is associated with thromboembolism. Antiphospholipid antibody (APLa) formation is one of the mechanisms. Vitamin D deficiency has been associated with thrombosis in antiphospholipid antibody syndrome. OBJECTIVE: Measure APLa and vitamin D in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with and without thrombosis to evaluate if thromboembolism is associated with concomitant APLa and vitamin D deficiency. METHODS: Case-control study. Hospitalized COVID-19 patients with a thromboembolic event (ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, deep venous thrombosis/pulmonary embolism, Cases n = 20). Controls (n = 20): Age, sex-matched without thromboembolic events. Patients with autoimmune disorders, antiphospholipid antibody syndrome, thrombophilia, anticoagulation therapy, prior thromboembolism, chronic kidney disease 3b, 4, end-stage renal disease, and malignancy were excluded. Given the limited current literature on the role of concomitant antiphospholipid antibodies and vitamin D deficiency in causing venous and/or arterial thrombosis in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, we enrolled 20 patients in each arm. Anti-cardiolipin IgG/IgM, beta-2 glycoprotein-1 IgG/IgM, lupus anticoagulant and vitamin D levels were measured in both groups. RESULTS: Cases were 5.7 times more likely to be vitamin D deficient (OR:5.7, 95% CI:1.3-25.6) and 7.4 times more likely to have any one APLa (OR:7.4, 95% CI: 1.6-49.5) while accounting for the effects of sex. Patients with both APLa and vitamin D deficiency had significantly more thrombosis compared to patients who were antibody positive without vitamin D deficiency (100% vs 47.4%; p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Thrombosis in COVID-19 was associated with concomitant APLa and vitamin D deficiency. Future studies in COVID-19 should assess the role of vitamin D in reducing thrombosis.

3D-PAST: Risk Assessment Model for Predicting Venous Thromboembolism in COVID-19.

Hypercoagulability is a recognized feature in SARS-CoV-2 infection. There exists a need for a dedicated risk assessment model (RAM) that can risk-stratify hospitalized COVID-19 patients for venous thromboembolism (VTE) and guide anticoagulation. We aimed to build a simple clinical model to predict VTE in COVID-19 patients. This large-cohort, retrospective study included adult patients admitted to four hospitals with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Model training was performed on 3531 patients hospitalized between March and December 2020 and validated on 2508 patients hospitalized between January and September 2021. Diagnosis of VTE was defined as acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE). The novel RAM was based on commonly available parameters at hospital admission. LASSO regression and logistic regression were performed, risk scores were assigned to the significant variables, and cutoffs were derived. Seven variables with assigned scores were delineated as: DVT History = 2; High D-Dimer (>500-2000 ng/mL) = 2; Very High D-Dimer (>2000 ng/mL) = 5; PE History = 2; Low Albumin (<3.5 g/dL) = 1; Systolic Blood Pressure <120 mmHg = 1, Tachycardia (heart rate >100 bpm) = 1. The model had a sensitivity of 83% and specificity of 53%. This simple, robust clinical tool can help individualize thromboprophylaxis for COVID-19 patients based on their VTE risk category.

Data of atrial arrhythmias in hospitalized COVID-19 and influenza patients.

Atrial arrhythmias (AA) are common in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with limited data on their association with COVID-19 infection, clinical and imaging outcomes. In the related research article using retrospective research data from one quaternary care and five community hospitals, patients aged 18 years and above with positive SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction test were included. 6927 patients met the inclusion criteria. The data in this article provides demographics, home medications, in-hospital events and COVID-19 treatments, multivariable generalized linear regression regression models using a log link with a Poisson distribution (multi-parameter regression [MPR]) to determine predictors of new-onset AA and mortality in COVID-19 patients, computerized tomography chest scan findings, echocardiographic findings, and International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision codes. The clinical outcomes were compared to a propensity-matched cohort of influenza patients. For influenza, data is reported on baseline demographics, comorbid conditions, and in-hospital events. Generalized linear regression models were built for COVID-19 patients using demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, and presenting labs which were significantly different between the groups, and hypoxia in the emergency room. Statistical analysis was performed using R programming language (version 4, ggplot2 package). Multivariable generalized linear regression model showed that, relative to normal sinus rhythm, history of AA (adjusted relative risk [RR]: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.11-1.71; p = 0.003) and newly-detected AA (adjusted RR: 2.02 95% CI: 1.68-2.43; p < 0.001) were independently associated with higher in-hospital mortality. Age in increments of 10 years, male sex, White race, prior history of coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, end-stage renal disease, presenting leukocytosis, hypermagnesemia, and hypomagnesemia were found to be independent predictors of new-onset AA in the MPR model. The dataset reported is related to the research article entitled "Incidence, Mortality, and Imaging Outcomes of Atrial Arrhythmias in COVID-19" [Jehangir et al. Incidence, Mortality, and Imaging Outcomes of Atrial Arrhythmias in COVID-19, American Journal of Cardiology] [1].

Venous thromboembolism in COVID-19 patients and prediction model: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with COVID-19 infection are commonly reported to have an increased risk of venous thrombosis. The choice of anti-thrombotic agents and doses are currently being studied in randomized controlled trials and retrospective studies. There exists a need for individualized risk stratification of venous thromboembolism (VTE) to assist clinicians in decision-making on anticoagulation. We sought to identify the risk factors of VTE in COVID-19 patients, which could help physicians in the prevention, early identification, and management of VTE in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and improve clinical outcomes in these patients. METHOD: This is a multicenter, retrospective database of four main health systems in Southeast Michigan, United States. We compiled comprehensive data for adult COVID-19 patients who were admitted between 1st March 2020 and 31st December 2020. Four models, including the random forest, multiple logistic regression, multilinear regression, and decision trees, were built on the primary outcome of in-hospital acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) and tested for performance. The study also reported hospital length of stay (LOS) and intensive care unit (ICU) LOS in the VTE and the non-VTE patients. Four models were assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and confusion matrix. RESULTS: The cohort included 3531 admissions, 3526 had discharge diagnoses, and 6.68% of patients developed acute VTE (N = 236). VTE group had a longer hospital and ICU LOS than the non-VTE group (hospital LOS 12.2 days vs. 8.8 days, p < 0.001; ICU LOS 3.8 days vs. 1.9 days, p < 0.001). 9.8% of patients in the VTE group required more advanced oxygen support, compared to 2.7% of patients in the non-VTE group (p < 0.001). Among all four models, the random forest model had the best performance. The model suggested that blood pressure, electrolytes, renal function, hepatic enzymes, and inflammatory markers were predictors for in-hospital VTE in COVID-19 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COVID-19 have a high risk for VTE, and patients who developed VTE had a prolonged hospital and ICU stay. This random forest prediction model for VTE in COVID-19 patients identifies predictors which could aid physicians in making a clinical judgment on empirical dosages of anticoagulation.

Anticoagulation Management and Outcomes in Patients With Covid-19 With Propensity Score Matching: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Therapeutic doses of anticoagulation have been administered to patients with coronavirus-19 disease (Covid-19) without thromboembolism, although there is a lack of robust evidence supporting this practice. STUDY QUESTION: To compare outcomes between patients admitted to the hospital for Covid-19 who received full-dose anticoagulation purely for the indication of Covid-19 and patients who received prophylactic doses of anticoagulation. STUDY DESIGN: This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study, including 7 community hospitals in Michigan. Patients were >18 years of age, confirmed positive for Covid-19 by polymerase chain reaction, and admitted to the hospital between March 10 and May 3, 2020. Exposed group: Patients receiving therapeutic dose anticoagulation for Covid-19 for any duration excluding clinically evident venous thromboembolism, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction; control group: Patients receiving prophylactic anticoagulation. Propensity score matching was used to adjust for the nonrandomized nature of the study. MEASURES AND OUTCOMES: The primary endpoint: 30-day in-hospital mortality. Secondary endpoints: intubation, length of hospital stay, and readmissions in survivors. RESULTS: A total of 115 exposed and 115 control patients were analyzed. Rates of 30-day in-hospital mortality were similar (exposed: 33.0% vs. control: 28.7%). Controlling for institution, there was no significant association between treatment and 30-day in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio: 0.63; 95% confidence interval: 0.37-1.06). Survivors had statistically similar length of hospital stay and readmission rates. CONCLUSIONS: We found no difference in mortality in patients with Covid-19 without clinically evident venous thromboembolism, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction who received therapeutic versus prophylactic doses of anticoagulation.

Incidence, Mortality, and Imaging Outcomes of Atrial Arrhythmias in COVID-19.

Atrial arrhythmias (AAs) are common in hospitalized patients with COVID-19; however, it remains uncertain if AAs are a poor prognostic factor in SARS-CoV-2 infection. In this retrospective cohort study from 2014 to 2021, we report in-hospital mortality in patients with new-onset AA and history of AA. The incidence of new-onset congestive heart failure (CHF), hospital length of stay and readmission rate, intensive care unit admission, arterial and venous thromboembolism, and imaging outcomes were also analyzed. We further compared the clinical outcomes with a propensity-matched influenza cohort. Generalized linear regression was performed to identify the association of AA with mortality and other outcomes, relative to those without an AA diagnosis. Predictors of new-onset AA were also modeled. A total of 6,927 patients with COVID-19 were included (626 with new-onset AA, 779 with history of AA). We found that history of AA (adjusted relative risk [aRR] 1.38, confidence interval [CI], 1.11 to 1.71, p = 0.003) and new-onset AA (aRR 2.02, 95% CI 1.68 to 2.43, p <0.001) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The incidence of new-onset CHF was 6.3% in history of AA (odds ratio 1.91, 95% CI 1.30 to 2.79, p <0.001) and 11.3% in new-onset AA (odds ratio 4.01, 95% CI 3.00 to 5.35, p <0.001). New-onset AA was shown to be associated with worse clinical outcomes within the propensity-matched COVID-19 and influenza cohorts. The risk of new-onset AA was higher in patients with COVID-19 than influenza (aRR 2.02, 95% CI 1.76 to 2.32, p <0.0001), but mortality associated with new-onset AA was higher in influenza (aRR 12.58, 95% CI 4.27 to 37.06, p <0.0001) than COVID-19 (aRR 1.86, 95% CI 1.55 to 2.22, p <0.0001). In a subset of the patients with COVID-19 for which echocardiographic data were captured, abnormalities were common, including valvular abnormalities (40.9%), right ventricular dilation (29.6%), and elevated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (16.5%); although there was no evidence of a difference in incidence among the 3 groups. In conclusion, new-onset AAs are associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19.

Transient Cold Agglutinins in a Patient With COVID-19.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection has been associated with various complications such as acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute kidney failure, myocardial infection, and thromboembolism. Cold agglutinin syndrome (CAS) has been associated with other viral infections such as Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), but there have been only a few reports of cold agglutination associated with COVID-19. In this report, we describe a case of transient cold agglutinin elevation in a COVID-19-infected patient. A 61-year-old man with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) presented with shortness of breath, cough, and lethargy for five days. A clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 infection was made. The COVID-19 RNA qualitative real-time polymerase-chain-reaction (PCR) assay tested positive. During the hospital stay, he had progressive dyspnea requiring intubation and mechanical ventilation. During the third week of hospital stay, an acute drop in the hemoglobin (Hb) level to 4.5 g/dl (baseline Hb: 9 g/dl) was observed. The workup for acute anemia revealed a positive result for cold agglutinins, direct antibody test (C3d), and agglutination of the red blood cells were apparent on the peripheral blood smear. Further, cold agglutinin titers peaked during the third week of the onset of illness and significantly declined during the fifth week. These observational findings indicate that cold agglutinin titers might correlate with the disease activity.